Knowledge Through Life Experience home page  Financing Retirement

Financing Retirement

Updated November 29, 2007    Hit Counter Print this page Print this page 

[This outline was originally prepared  for my talk to the New York Association of In-house Locksmiths in September, 2003; I've added much to it since. - Ralph].  Formally called Investing for Retirement, the name has been changed to reflect additional material covering not only planning for retirement but also while retired.  Disclaimer:  I am not a financial advisor, and this not to be construed as financial advice. 
Note that indicates material added during the last 30 days, so if you visit every four weeks you can see immediately what's new; similarly indicated material changed in the last 30 days.

bullet Plan ahead!
bulletLegal documents everyone needs at any age!
bulletFind out where you stand:
bulletAbout 25% of American workers are very confident they will have enough money to retire; another 44% are somewhat confident, but 60% of the whole group haven't calculated how much they'll need in retirement!  How can they be so confident?
bullet About of respondents in a recent survey are very- or somewhat-confident that they'll have enough funds to live comfortably in retirement, but they have less that $50,000 saved; half of those 55 and older have saved less than $50,000.  That's not enough!
bullet 40% say they have a pension, but 61% expect to receive money from such a plan.  21% are in for a shocking surprise!
bullet Half thought they could live on 70% of their pre-retirement income, but the true figure is 85%!
bullet25% of workers between 40 and 60 years old have no retirement savings!
bullet About 40% of retirees leave work before they want to because of health reasons, to be a healthcare provider for a family member, or are downsized out of their job.
bulletPlanning for A Secure Retirement - an on-line course at Purdue
bulletDon't Fall Victim to Typical Retirement Planning Blunders
bulletMetlife Quiz on Your Retirement Knowledge
 
bulletHow much will you need to retire?
bullet Reasonable estimate is 85-100% of pre-retirement income.  To achieve this, a reasonable estimate is to have 12 times your final year's income saved when you retire (if you do not expect to receive a pension.)  (If your final year's income is $50,000, you should have $600,000 saved when you retire.)  Another source suggests 65% of final income could be enough, but it's better to have too much saved than to little.
bulletExpense reductions:
bulletNo more saving for retirement.
bulletWork expenses (commuting costs,  lunches, work clothing, etc.)
bullet Social Security taxes.  If you don't have earned income, you don't pay Social Security.
bulletAdditions:
bulletTravel?  Older persons, when asked what the regretted most not doing, answered "travel."
bulletOther recreational costs, since you'll have much more leisure time.
bulletHealth expenses usually increase.  An American couple that retires at age 65 in 2006 will need, on average, $200,000 in retirement to cover out-of-pocket medical costs; an increase of more than 5% over 2005.  This assumes that retirees do not have employer-sponsored retiree healthcare.  It includes: expenses associated with Medicare Part B and D premiums; Medicare cost-sharing provisions such as co-payments, coinsurance, deductibles and excluded benefits; and prescription drug costs.  It does not include expenses such as over-the-counter medications, most dental services and long-term care (estimated to be $65,000 to $150,000 annually.)
bullet Kiplinger magazine's Calculators for Real Life
bullet Kiplinger magazine's Tools for Investing, Money & Rewards
bulletAARP Articles on Retirement Financial Planning
bullet Nest Egg Score estimates how well you're set for retirement, and provides a score which compares you to others.  Pensions are not considered, which may throw off the results.  [My score is "good", but I have a pension.]
 
bullet Will you be happy in retirement?
bullet Are there things you'd rather be doing instead your currently employment?
bullet When you're in your declining years, will you be thinking, "Gee, I wish I'd kept going to the office longer?" [Not me!]
bullet Are you ready for retirement? Take the quiz.
 
"Work is the refuge of those who have nothing better to do." Oscar Wilde

 
 Before You Retire: Your Three Sources of Retirement Income
bullet
1. Old Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance, commonly known as Social Security
bulletIt's not going broke; just a few adjustments needed.
bullet The president's proposal may not be a good deal for workers or anyone else.
bullet In 2006 the Social Security trustees report that there's enough funds to pay full benefits until 2040, and 74% of benefits thereafter (under current law.)  However all the assets of Social Security are invested in US government bonds, which will have to be redeemed in order to pay benefits.  This may result in increased taxes for all.
 
bullet
What is Your Full
Retirement Age?
Year of
Birth
Full
Retirement Age
Reduction if
Retire @ 62
<1938 65 20%
1938 65 + 2 months 20.83%
1939 65 + 4 months 21.67%
1940 65 + 6 months 22.5%
1941 65 + 8 months 23.33%
1942 65 + 10 months 24.17%
1943-54 66 25%
1955 66 + 2 months 25.84%
1956 66 + 4 months 26.66%
1957 66 + 6 months 27.5%
1958 66 + 8 months 28.33%
1959 66 + 10 months 29.17%
>1959 67 30%

 

bullet
Retiring early vs. waiting until full retirement age (or even later) see table
bulletRetire early website
bulletIf you begin to receive benefits from Social Security at 62 you'll be money ahead until you reach 76, then you fall behind (not counting cost-of-living adjustments)
bulletDisadvantage: if you die first, your surviving spouse will receive reduced benefits.
bulletYou can find better estimates, and calculation of your breakeven point at Social Security Administration Calculators (again, not considering cost-of-living adjustments)
bullet  Excel worksheet to determine break-even point (including inflation and return on investments, but disregarding any pension)  If this link is invalid, go here, then click on "Free Programs"
bullet Things to consider when deciding when to apply for Social Security benefits:
bulletReasons to apply before full retirement age:
bulletYou need the money now.
bulletYou don't need the money now, and will invest the benefit payments until needed.
bulletYou're in poor health, or have engaged in activities in the past which might have shortened your life expectancy (e.g. worked with asbestos, smoked, are HIV-positive.)  Do you do things which may shorten your life before or after retirement (e.g. travel in an auto without using a seat belt, sky-dive, drive while using a cell phone?)
bulletThe reduction in survivor payments to your spouse (should you die early) is not important.
bulletReasons to apply at or after full retirement age:
bulletYou want to continue working  If you take benefits before your full retirement age, for every $2 you earn above an annual limit (which is $12,960 in 2007) will reduce your Social Security payment by $1.  Also, if you work, your benefit will increase when you finally take benefits.
bulletYou are in good health, and expect to remain so.  Your life expectancy heritage is great (Did your ancestors live to great ages, or did they die earlier than their expected lifetimes because of an congenital disease or condition?)
bulletYou don't want to pay taxes on the Social Security income (which may be spiting yourself.)
bulletThe reduction in survivor payments to your spouse (should you die early) is important.

Forty percent of early retirees do so because of health reasons (their own or becoming a caregiver for someone else.)  A recent study of all retirees of Shell Oil Co. from 1973-2003 showed that their risk of dying between 55 and 65 was double for those who retired at 55 as compared to those who continued to work, but those who retired at 60 had similar survival rates to those who retired at 65 or older.  No explanation was offered by researchers, but my guess would be that those who retired at 55 might have had serious health issues, so they retired as early as possible.
 
bulletA complicated method of perhaps having the best of both worlds:
bulletRetire at 62 and start collecting payments
bulletwithdraw your application 60 days before your full retirement age
bulletpay back all the money you received
bulletrefile for full benefits
bulletAdvantages
bulletit's a free loan from Social Security (money you can use during that time)
bulletprovides time to reconsider other factors (see below)
bulletPossible problems
bulletgiving back all that money
bulletif you die before completing this process, your surviving spouse will receive reduced benefits
bulletthis procedure can impact Medicare benefits and taxes
 
bullet 2.  Your employer's money
bullet Defined-benefit or defined-contribution plan?
bulletDefined-benefit means you get a specified pension for life (or longer, if you can choose to continue payments to a beneficiary).  (This is a vanishing program, because of the money required of the employers increases with the number of retired employees.  The USPS postal rate increase of 2006 was necessitated by pension costs ― not all companies can raise their incomes as easily.)
bulletRisk rests with employer, who must provide your promised pension regardless of expense.  Employers utilize financial experts in order to invest the money appropriately so that they can provide the funds needed for their retirees.
bulletGood for long-time employees (benefit usually depends on final years' paychecks)
bulletLaw requires employees must fully vest (become yours, even if you leave that employer) in seven years
bullet Private company pensions protected by federal government (up to $45,614/year in 2004) if you retired at 65 (less if you retired earlier.)
bullet Some plans allow person retiring to withdraw in a lump sum; if so, some things to consider
bulletIf the company goes under, any pension over $45,614 (in 2004) would be reduced to that amount (or less if you retired earlier than 65)
bulletA lump sum payment cannot be rescinded; it's yours to keep.
bullet But don't spend it too fast.  More than half of those who took lump sum pension in 2003 had spent it all within three years.  How are they going to live after?
bulletGovernment pensions totally exempt from NYS & NYC income tax.
bulletEmployer may change from defined-benefit to defined-contribution plan (or no plan at all; it's not required.)
bulletVia cash-balance method (which penalizes long-term employees more than newer employees)
bullet May "freeze" current defined-benefit plan, which stops contributions into plan (and lowers future costs, but reduces pension for current workers when they retire) and perhaps begin 401(k) plan. Verizon did this in 2006.
bullet Defined-contribution means your employer puts in a specified amount each paycheck, invested among available choices from plan as you direct, final amount varies as your investment choices perform.
bulletRisk and financial planning requirement shifts to employee, who must decide not only
bullethow much money they'll need when they retire, but also
bullethow much to invest, 
bulletwhat to invest in to achieve their retirement goal, and
bulletwhen they can afford to retire
bulletGood for employees who change jobs often, because they can move money with them
bulletWhen leaving employer, move to Rollover IRA to allow you more investment choices
 
bullet3.  Your money
bulletInvest early no matter what you invest in.
bullet Save for your retirement, even before your children's education:
bulletThere are many kinds of scholarships, education loans and grants which may be obtained when needed for your children, but there are no "retirement loans"; when you retire you're on your own.
bulletFor every 10 years you delay before starting to save for retirement, you will need to save three times as much each month to catch up.
bullet 

Just One Year Can Make a Big Difference!
(from Fidelity Investments)

If you start
at this age

You'll accumulate
this much at age 70

The One Year
Delay Difference

20 $2,010,977 -$151,962
21 $1,859,015
30 $909,731 -$70,388
31 $839,343
40 $399,641 -$32,603
41 $367,038

assuming $3,000 annual contribution to an IRA and 8% rate of return

bullet401k (403b) or Roth IRA?
bullet401k (companies) or 403b (non-profit organizations)
bullet401k contribution may be partially or fully matched by employer (Great! Immediate growth! Invest at least enough to get employer match)
bulletMoney is invested before taxes (reduces current taxes)
bulletTaxes paid when withdrawn (at then-current ordinary-income rate,  not reduced-rate of dividends or capital-gains)
bulletCannot be withdrawn before age 59½ without penalty except specific under certain conditions
bulletMust begin withdrawing at age 70½ in calculated minimums, and cannot invest any more
bulletWhen leaving employer, best to move to your own rollover IRA, and have trustee-to-trustee transfer to avoid 20% withholding
bulletWhen asset-allocating, hold all bonds in this account because gains are taxable at ordinary-income rate, and bonds have more modest gains than stocks.
bulletRoth IRA
bulletMoney invested after paying taxes
bulletWithdrawals (principal and gains) tax-free
bulletNever has to be withdrawn, and can be left to others tax-free
bulletAlways better than traditional IRA because withdrawals are never taxed, and gains are completely tax-free.
 
bullet An article in February 2005 AAII Journal (subscription required) shows that investing before or after taxes has no effect on final amounts (assuming same tax rates during contribution and withdrawal years.)  If your tax rate is lower after retirement, it's better to defer paying taxes, but how can you know what the tax rate will be when you retire?
 
bulletBankrate.com's explanation of the features of the kinds of IRAs
bulletMotley Fool's explanation of IRAs
bulletKiplinger's take on IRAs
bullet If I were starting now, I would invest in a Roth IRA because (although I'd be paying taxes as I earned the money) all withdrawals are tax-free.  If I worked where there was a 401k match I'd invest enough there to get the match, then the rest in a Roth IRA.
 
bullet Windfalls are wonderful, but don't count on them
bulletAn inheritance is money left to you in a will.  Don't count on them before the fact, because you may never receive the money.  Changes of finances or heart may change the will, or the money may be used to pay for health care.
bulletLotteries may provide some cushion, but unless it's substantial, it won't make a difference.  "Investing" in lottery tickets is a bad idea, since the odds of winning are so long.
bulletA recent giveaway uses the tag line, "how will you quit your job?"  With the top prize being only $1 million, a better question would be, "why would you quit your job?", since a safe 4% withdrawal rate would only provide a $40,000 annual income, and it's hard to retire on that.
bulletInvestment choices are many, however held
bullet Buy your residence
bulletAdvantages
bulletIt appreciates while you live there, and you do have to live somewhere
bulletMortgage payments and real estate taxes are income tax-deductible (making it cheaper to own)
bulletYou build up equity for yourself, rather than paying rent to someone else
bulletWhen you sell it, profit of up to $500,000 (jointly owned with spouse, otherwise $250,000) is tax-free if you've resided there for two of the last five years
bulletWhen you die, your beneficiaries' basis is the value on your death, thus the appreciation during your lifetime is tax-free
bulletFact:  in 2001 the net worth of homeowners averaged $174,980; non-homeowners averaged $6,720 ― a difference of 2600%.
bulletDisadvantages
bulletYou must sell it in order to realize the gain, and changing residences is neither cheap, easy or fast
bulletYou still have to live somewhere, whether rental or a purchase of another home
bulletNot readily convertible to cash, but a reverse-mortgage can provide money to stay in your present home
bulletStocks (you own a share of a company, with vote on management and directors)
bulletBought and sold at exchanges throughout business days
bulletPrice set by supply-and-demand
bulletA bull market means prices are moving up; a bear market is moving down
bulletAn index (plural: indices) is average price of a specific list of stocks
bulletDow Jones Industrial Average (the Dow or DJIA or "the market") is 30 large companies which trade on the NY Stock Exchange, and is considered a barometer of how large companies are trading
bulletRussell 5000
bulletStandard & Poors 500 is 500 stocks which provide a broader range of companies
bulletYou can't invest in any index directly, because it's just an average of stock prices
bulletDon't invest in your employer's stock (too many eggs in one basket -- if company goes down, you lose your job and your investment - Enron, the prime example)
bulletPay attention to your investments (you may lose by inattention)
bullet Timing your investing is not critical (market-high vs. market-low), but the earlier you invest the more you'll accumulate.  An 2/06 article in AAII Journal showed that there was no dramatic difference between investing at the year's market maximums vs. minimums over the years 1984-2004, but the investor could achieve near-maximum gains by investing on the first trading day of each year (investing $1,200 on Jan. 2 rather than $100 each month.)
bulletIf the company you've invested in goes bankrupt, you may lose all your investment
bulletBonds (you loan your money to them)
bulletCommercial
bulletMunicipal (most tax-exempt in the issuing state)
bulletFederal (savings, bills, bonds, notes, TIPs)
bulletMutual funds are shares in many investments, and are often in many sectors
bullet An open-ended fund continuously issues and redeems shares of the fund, but may close (stop selling shares) to new (or even current) investors to avoid having too much money to invest.  This is the type listed in the newspapers as "mutual funds", and trades at the closing price for the day.  Price is the net asset value of the properties owned by the fund divided by the number of shares (plus any front-end load.)
bullet A closed-end fund has a fixed number of shares, and trades like a stock all day (in order to buy shares, someone else has to sell them); and is listed among the "stocks" listing
bullet A growth fund invests in companies with above-average revenue and earnings and is expected to continue do well, a value fund invests in stocks considered to be bargains and  expected to do well in the future.  A blend fund invests in both growth and value companies.
bulletLarge-cap, medium-cap, small-cap, micro-cap (variously sized companies)
bulletInternational (everywhere except the U.S.), global (all over the world), tech, healthcare, energy, etc.
bulletBond (municipal, federal, commercial)
bulletIndex funds attempt to emulate performance of specific indices, like the DJIA, S&P 500,  etc.  (e.g. a fund which emulates the DJIA should go up 5.3% if the DJIA goes up 5.3%)
bulletVery low expenses because they emulate specific indices and don't require expensive research or managers
bulletNot subject to illegal market-timing losses of recent news
bulletBrokerage houses often have their own index funds, or they can be invested in directly from mutual fund companies such as Vanguard and Fidelity
bulletMutual fund expenses cost money; minimize whenever possible
bulletAll funds have management fees (less is better, but you can decide to invest in a fund with higher expenses if it pays better returns)
bulletLoad funds charge money to invest with them
bulletfront-end load (class A) charge before investing, so purchaser gets less investment
bulletClass B front-end loads are lower than class A, but levy higher annual expenses
bulletback-end loads charge to sell your investment
bullet12b-1 fees pay for advertising (avoid if possible)
bulletNo-load funds don't charge to invest or sell; returns are just as good
bulletBooklet on mutual fund fees
bullet Exchange-Traded Funds (EFTs) are almost-always open-end mutual funds. 
bulletMost track indices; a variety are available (about 150 at this writing)
bulletTrade on exchanges throughout business days (like a stock)
bulletBought and sold through any broker
bulletAdvantage: low costs and taxes because they track indices; thus good for long-term investment
bulletDisadvantage: you pay your broker a commission on each purchase or sale; thus unsuitable for small or periodic investments
bullet Kiplinger magazine's listing of EFTs
bulletInvestment Trusts are a collection of specific properties or bonds put together by sponsor, and sold in units (usually $1,000 each)
bulletNo control of management
bulletNot widely traded, thus hard to sell
bulletPeriodically receive interest and some principal (no control over how much or when)
bulletExamples: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) invest in real estate, bond trusts invest in bonds
bulletImmediate Annuities -- a pension you can buy
bullet AARP article
bulletExplanation of annuities by a company that sells them
bulletAnother explanation
bulletSEC article on variable annuities
bullet General rules about investing.
bulletUnderstand the investment product, and ask questions about risks before putting in any money
bulletKnow your risk tolerance, and don't invest beyond that point (for peace-of-mind)
bulletFind out all fees which may pertain, including minimum purchases and surrender fees which may "lock you in" to an investment
bulletMonitor the investments, so you're aware of changes (declines, changes of management, etc.)
bulletMake sure you can get your money out in an emergency.
bullet Top Myths About Retirement Plans - Nolo
 
bullet Asset allocation
bulletDiversify ― don't put all your money in one sector, because if that sector goes down, your investment will too.
Examples:
bulletLarge-cap stocks and international stocks may not move in the same direction at the same time
bulletStocks and bonds often move in opposite directions.  Late 2003, when interest rates are at historic lows and can only move up, is not the time to invest in long-term bonds.
bulletYour house can be considered an illiquid investment in real estate: real estate taxes are income-tax deductible as is mortgage interest, but you have to live somewhere and selling real estate is a costly and slow process if you need to convert to cash.
bulletCash (and its equivalents of money market funds and savings accounts) is a choice. They won't go down, but will lose value to inflation.
bulletThis works for companies too.  Geico used to sell homeowners insurance, but exited that market (possibly because of possible numerous claims for large-scale calamities; they now only cover autos.)  If they had remained in house coverage they would be facing huge payouts because of hurricane Katrina and the 2007 California fires.  They limited their losses by diversifying, since it's highly unlikely that a large number of autos will be involved in crashes at the same time.
bulletDollar-cost average (keep on investing, regardless of the current price).
bulletWhen the prices decline your result is more shares each investment.
bulletWhen prices increase you get fewer shares, but your total investment increases.
bullet 
One Method of Allocating Your Investments
Term
(when you expect to
need the money)
Investment

Your Risk Tolerance

Low Medium High
Short
(<2 yrs)
Cash 100%

100%

100%
Short-Medium
(3-5 yrs)
Stocks 25% 40% 60%
Bonds 40% 40% 30%
Cash 35% 20% 10%
Medium
(6-10 years)
Stocks 40% 60% 80%
Bonds 40% 30% 20%
Cash 20% 10% 0%
Long
(10+ years)
Stocks 60% 80% 100%
Bonds 30% 20% 0%
Cash 10% 0% 0%

 

 In Retirement ― Don't Outlive Your Money!

 
bulletYour biggest problem could be inflation!
bulletInflation examples
bulletRemember gasoline at 35¢ (or $1.35, or now even $2.35)/gallon, or letter postage at 3¢?
bulletMy salary in 1967 was $5,900, now same step is $50,000 (not counting promotions.)
bulletMy house value increased 1,000% in 29 years
 
bullet
Life expectancy means that 50% of people die before that time, 50% after.  It's not a determination of how long one actually will live, merely a mathematical tool to aid planning.

Life expectancy increases with age (the older you get, the more likely you'll live longer), so always invest for the long-term